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  1. Cryptocurrency and the Blockchain technology has been attracting a large number of Wall Street executives to the industry. The latest addition is the former financial regulator, Gary Gensler, who was the Chairman of Commodity Futures Trading Commission from 2009-2014. He will be teaching a course at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology about the potential of Blockchain. While JP Morgan has mostly been in the news for its CEO’s views on cryptocurrencies, the company’s former head of the global energy trading desk Daniel Masters believes that the crypto markets will be much bigger than their present state in the future. New funds are cropping up to benefit from this. A few are being opened by millennials with very little knowledge of how Wall Street functions. It shows that the new breed of investors believe that trading cryptocurrencies is different than trading stocks, commodities or Forex. We also agree that there are subtle differences that need to be applied if one has to be successful in trading virtual currencies. BTC/USD Bitcoin has again entered a period of consolidation near the $9,200 mark. We had suggested booking partial profits at $9,400 in our previous analysis. Considering the tight consolidation, we recommend traders book partial profits around the $9,200 mark itself because if prices turn down from the current levels, they can easily fall towards $8,300 levels. In a medium-term time frame, we believe that the BTC/USD pair will become range bound between $6,000 and $12,000. This is such a large range that it can be traded with no difficulty. The aim should be to buy at the supports of the range, closer to $6,100 and close positions near the resistance levels of the range at $12,000. Between these two levels, the virtual currency can remain highly volatile. For the current trade, the stop loss on the remaining position can be kept at breakeven. ETH/USD Ethereum continues to move up without an entry opportunity. Sometimes, we may have to miss a few trades because they don’t offer us a good risk to reward entry level. Never run after a trade with the fear of missing out. The moving averages are close to a bullish crossover, which is a positive sign. A rally to $745 is on the cards. We anticipate strong resistance at the $745 levels. The price may either correct or consolidate, depending on the underlying strength. In case of any correction, the ETH/USD pair can decline to $500 where it will find support from the moving averages. We shall either enter on a consolidation or a dip. BCH/USD Bitcoin cashhas performed as we expected. It is zooming ahead, duplicating its past patterns. It has comfortably crossed our second target objective of $1,300 and is on its way to our third target of $1,600. Traders who follow us are sitting on an 85 percent profit because we had suggested long positions at $779. We propose booking profits on 25 percent of the open position at the current prices. This leaves about 25-40 percent of the original position open. We are not closing the complete position because, if $1,600 level is scaled, the next stop is $1,800 and $2,000. However, the BCH/USD pair has a history of vertical rallies followed by an equally sharp plunge. Therefore, please protect the position with a suitable stop loss. Never let greed cloud correct reasoning. XRP/USD Ripple has formed back to back inside day candlestick patterns on April 21 and April 22. This shows that the bulls and the bears are confused whether to carry the digital currency higher or lower. If the price breaks out of $0.93777, the XRP/USDpair should rally to $1.08399. On the other hand, if it breaks down of $0.79933, we might see a fall to the 20-day EMA at $0.7. The cryptocurrency may remain volatile in the large range. Therefore, traders should keep a trailing stop loss to protect their gains. XLM/USD Stellar has started a new trend but is facing resistance at the $0.4 levels. The positive point is that it has been holding above the break out levels of $0.36 levels for the past four days. If the XLM/USD pair doesn’t sink below the $0.36 levels, it remains on target to move towards $0.47, where traders should book profits on another 25 percent position. The target objectives are only probabilities arrived at using technical analysis. They are not met all the time, and that’s why we always need to be ready for any course of events and protect the positions with a suitable trailing stop. LTC/USD Litecoin broke out of the downtrend line and the 50-day SMA on April 20. On April 21, the price again slid back below the downtrend line but found support at lower levels. This is a positive sign, and it shows that the buyers are willing to buy on dips. But the LTC/USD pair has not picked up momentum after breaking out. It is struggling to clear the $160 levels. If it doesn’t move up quickly, it can again fall to $140. On breaking out of $160, it can rally to $178 levels. Hence, the aggressive traders can buy at $160 and keep a stop loss of $140. They can book partial profits at $180 and trail the rest higher. The 20-day SMA has flattened out, but the 50-day SMA is still falling. This shows that the buyers are slow to return to this digital currency. Therefore, please keep the position size only about 50 percent of usual. It’s a risky trade. ADA/BTC Cardano failed to cross above the overhead resistance of 0.000035 on both April 20 and April 21. It formed a doji candlestick pattern on April 22 and is following it up with another small range day today. The next leg of the up move will start on a break out above 0.000035, which can carry it to 0.000045 levels. We have Recommended holding the remaining position with a trailing stop loss. On the downside, the ADA/BTC pair has support at 0.000030 and below that at the 20-day EMA. Traders can trail the stops based on their risk tolerance level, but don’t allow the position to turn into a loss. NEO/USD NEO is struggling to break out of the $80 mark. It is facing stiff resistance from the downtrend line and the horizontal line at this level. And in our previous analysis, we had suggested booking partial profits at the $80 mark and raising the stops on the rest to breakeven. On April 21, the NEO/USD pair fell but remained above our stop loss. It found support at the 50-day SMA. For the past four days, the prices have been consolidating near the overhead resistance, a bullish sign. The moving averages are close to a bullish crossover, which is another positive development. A breakout above $80 levels should start a new uptrend, which can carry the digital currency to $94 and then to $140 levels. Considering the large profit potential, we have recommended holding the remaining position with a trailing stop. EOS/USD Traders who follow us have been holding EOS from the $7.5 levels. It has started a new uptrend and is trending inside the ascending channel two. It has exceeded our first target objective and is trading near the second target objective of $12. We suggest booking profits on another 25 percent of the open positions at the current levels and trailing the remaining with the stops just below the support line of the ascending channel two. The EOS/USD pair will continue to rise inside the channel and can reach $13 levels if the sentiment remains upbeat. We anticipate strong resistance just above the $14 mark. So as the price moves up, traders should tighten their stops further. The cryptocurrency will lose momentum only if it breaks down of the channel.
  2. The St. Louis Federal Reserve has published an essay critically evaluating the notion of cryptocurrencies that are issued by central banks. The article is highly dismissive in presenting what it describes as “the non-case for central bank cryptocurrencies,” concluding that “a central bank will not issue cryptocurrencies in the sense of a truly decentralized and permissionless asset that allows users to remain anonymous.” St. Louis Fed Argues That Cryptocurrency Comprises Unique Monetary Form In presenting their argument, the research paper’s authors, Aleksander Berentsen and Fabian Schar, first seek to define the unique qualities of bitcoin and articulate the properties that differentiate cryptocurrencies from other monetary forms. Berentsen and Schär argue that different monetary forms are characterized by three dimensions: representation, transaction handling, and money creation. The paper asserts that “the distinguishing characteristic of cryptocurrencies is the decentralized nature of transaction handling, which enables users to remain anonymous and allows for permissionless access.” “In theory,” Berentsen and Schär assert that “a central bank could easily introduce a central bank cryptocurrency.” It is proposed that central banks “could attach additional value components to fractions of existing cryptoassets, such as Bitcoin.” The authors also suggest that “Ethereum’s ERC20 or ERC223 token standards [can] be used to create new fungible tokens that are compatible with the Ethereum blockchain’s infrastructure”, or […] “Finally, a central bank can develop a brand new blockchain.” The paper poses all “approaches are fairly straightforward to implement and would allow for the issuance of a central bank cryptocurrency on a public blockchain.” Decentralization as Defining Quality of Cryptocurrency Despite the many means available through which a central bank could issue a cryptocurrency, the authors state that “the key characteristics of cryptocurrencies are a red flag for central banks. That is, no reputable central bank would have an incentive to issue an anonymous virtual currency.” The article presents several bases for the assertion that the fundamental property of cryptocurrency is at odds with the functions of central banks. Firstly, the authors argue that “The reputational risk would simply be too high,” pointing to the risk of “a hypothetical ‘Fedcoin’ used by a drug cartel to launder money or a terrorist organization to acquire weapons.” Central Bank-Issued Cryptocurrency Unrealistic Furthermore, Berentsen and Schär propose that “commercial banks would rightfully start asking why they have to follow KYC (‘know your customer’) and AML (‘anti-money laundering’) regulations, while the central bank is undermining any effects of this regulation by issuing an anonymous cryptocurrency with permissionless access,” adding that “Once we remove the decentralized nature of a cryptocurrency, not much is left of it.” The article argues that a central bank-issued cryptocurrency would comprise “virtual money that is centralized and issued monopolistically by a central bank is electronic central bank money,” concluding that “calling such a centralized form of virtual money a cryptocurrency is misleading.” Ultimately, the paper argues in favor of central banks issuing a virtual money, advocating for such to be made available to businesses and citizens. St. Louis Federal Reserve “Welcome Anonymous Cryptocurrencies” Regarding central bank cryptocurrencies, the authors conclude that “In general, we don’t think that a central bank should be in the business to satisfy the demand for anonymous payments. We believe that such a demand can and will be perfectly satisfied by the private sector, in particular through cryptocurrencies.” Berentsen and Schär add that “History and current political reality show that, on the one hand, governments can be bad actors and, on the other hand, some citizens can be bad actors. The former justifies an anonymous currency to protect citizens from bad governments, while the later calls for transparency of all payments. The reality is in between, and for that reason we welcome anonymous cryptocurrencies but also disagree with the view that the government should provide one.”
  3. Nasdaq-listed technology firm Xunlei has become the subject of multiple class-action lawsuits from investors who purchased the company’s digital token, Linktoken. Xunlei is accused of misleading investors to disguise an initial coin offering (ICO) through which Linktoken was distributed. Xunlei CEO Rejects ICO Allegations The chief executive officer of Xunlei, Chen Lei, has rejected accusations that the company misled investors in order to illegally conduct an ICO in China. Xunlei’s Linktoken was distributed to users in exchange for a contribution of idle internet bandwidth, according to South China Morning Post. Chen Lei has claimed that the Linktoken distribution did not comprise an ICO due to the company not raising any funds through the issuance of the tokens, and due to Linktoken comprising a utility token that is not allowed to be traded. “By making a public offering, really you need to use it to raise money. We have never used a coin to raise any money at all, that’s never our intention,” Mr. Lei stated. In October 2017, Linktoken was launched in conjunction with other efforts by Xunlei to enter the booming blockchain industry. Whilst the distribution of the Linktoken appears to have been the catalyst for many weeks of sharp bullish action, the value of Xunlei’s stock has more than halved since posting 500% gains and setting record highs of $25 USD in November 2017. Xunlei’s Stock Plummets Since then, the price of Xunlei’s shares had plummeted to approximately $10 by early April, prompting some U.S.-based investors to seek action against the company for allegations of giving false and/or misleading statements regarding the legitimacy of the company’s cryptocurrency-related activities between October 2017 and January 2018. Among other allegations, investors have pointed to the requirement that they purchase hardware from Xunlei in order to share bandwidth and claim the digital tokens in return. Chen Lei has refuted the allegations,Stating “We are a small capital company, so our stock price does fluctuate, but I don’t think there’s any basis for the lawsuit because we’re operating in China and it is the Chinese law and regulations that we need to observe,” adding that “the definition of [an] ICO has to be interpreted in the Chinese market.” Mr. Lei also indicated that Xunlei is currently in the process of hiring legal counsel to refute the allegations Chen Lei Claims to Support Regulatory Action Against ICOs Chen Lei also criticized initial coin offerings and advocated for greater regulatory action to be taken against such, stating “ICOs are terrible, and give a bad name to blockchain technology. Governments should clamp down on these practices – a crackdown is the only way blockchain can rebuild its reputation.” Mr. Lei added: “We have been very straight on our business practices – we do not sell tokens.” China’s National Internet Finance Association (NIFA), a self-regulatory body established by the People’s Bank of China and authorized by China’s State Council, conducted an investigation into Xunlei’s token distribution, concluding in January the company had evaded regulations through conducting an “initial miner offering.” NIFA stated “In the case of Lianke issued by Xunlei, for example, the issuing company in effect substitutes Lianke for the duty to pay back project contributors with legal tender, making it essentially a financing activity and a form of disguised ICO. In addition, with frequent promotional activities and publishing of trading tutorials, Xunlei has lured many citizens without sound discernment into IMO activities.” Xunlei Shares Bounce After Blockchain Launch Despite the controversy and ongoing class-action lawsuits, Xunlie’s stock has bounced in recent days following the company’s announcement that its “Thunderchain” blockchain platform designed to facilitate the development of decentralized applications has been launched. Xunlei’s shares (XNET) are currently trading at $13.46, after retracing from highs of $14 on the 20th of April.
  4. Securities investors may be able to get more exposure to the bitcoin market soon as one of the leading mining producers, Canaan, is thinking about going public. Everyday people may soon be able to mine cryptocurrency right on their smart TVs, if the company has its way Canaan Rules out IPO on Chinese Stock Exchanges? Canaan Creative Co. Ltd, the Chinese company behind the Avalon lineup of hardware equipment which produces ASIC mining chips and rigs, is reportedly considering launching an initial public offering (IPO) in Hong Kong or the US markets. The company has faced difficulties with getting its stocks listed on mainland Chinese marketplace in the past and now feels that the process in its home country is just too long. Co-chairman Jianping Kong said: “We … prefer listing outside mainland China as we are in a global business.” Canaan also claims that the harsh approach toward bitcoin taken by the government has nothing to do with its decision to look abroad. Kong added that they may later pursue a secondary listing in China by issuing depository receipts. Mining TVs Besides a potential IPO, the company which reportedly brought in over 1 billion yuan in revenues last year, has further expansion plans. N.G. Zhang, Canaan founder and CEO, revealed that he employs around 200 in Beijing and Hangzhou, mostly in R&D, and is looking to hire more. Canaan might use its chip development know-how and capabilities to create an unexpected new lineup of products. These can include home appliances such television sets that mine cryptocurrencies “while you sleep.” Other developments include chips to power artificial intelligence (AI) applications and of course new hardware for mining other cryptocurrencies such as litecoin. The manufacturer is expected to benefit from the Chinese government’s initiative to promote local technology companies to rid its economy of its dependence on foreign suppliers at a time of growing international tensions and talk of trade wars. “As an integrated circuit company, we are supported by government policies,” Kong commented.
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